| Investment
Process Step
1 Equity/Fixed Income Positioning
Arcataur has developed
a model that assists us in determining the relative attractiveness
of stocks versus bonds. Key factors we look at include corporate
earnings, interest rates and the implied risk premium priced
between stocks and bonds. We have identified key inflection
points between prices of bonds and stocks. The 45% to 75%
equity/fixed income targets for each of the Arcataur
Managed Balance Portfolios was set after extensive
research, utilizing historical data and data from our own
previous management experience. The Arcataur Managed
Balance Portfolio starts here. Based upon the market
conditions and each client's investment objectives and risk
tolerance, an asset allocation range and target is set to
balance risk and return for that investor. Each of our balanced
portfolios has distinct risk and return characteristics. The
Arcataur Conservative Managed Balance Portfolio
seeks to achieve moderate, long-term capital appreciation
with higher current income, while recognizing the possibility
of moderate fluctuation in year-to-year market values. The
equity component target is 45%, and the fixed income component
target is 55%. The Arcataur Core Managed Balance Portfolio
seeks to achieve a moderate level of current income and, over
time, above average capital appreciation with moderate risk
of principal. The equity component target is 55%, and the
fixed income component target is 45%. The Arcataur
Aggressive Managed Balance Portfolio seeks to achieve
high, long-term capital appreciation with lower current income
while recognizing the possibility of substantial fluctuation
in the year-to-year market value. The equity component target
is 65% and the fixed income component target is 35%.
Step 2
Macro Assessment
Our portfolio managers ascertain the
current state of financial markets and economies around the
world. Many factors are considered to determine the probable
course of future changes in financial assets. Inflation, economic
growth, corporate earnings and input costs are the types of
factors analyzed to gain insight into the future of the investment
climate. When our models and fundamental analysis indicate
stocks are more attractive, we will be near the upper end
of the range for the particular Arcataur Managed Balance
Portfolio. Conversely, when bonds are favored, we
will be near the lower end of the stated range for the particular
Arcataur Managed Balance Portfolio.
Step 3
Portfiolio Construction
The equity component of the Arcataur
Managed Balance Portfolio will be the Arcataur
Large Capitalization Equity Portfolio, utilizing
the same process to achieve a separately managed account consisting
of high quality, blue chip stocks which offer growth opportunities
at a reasonable price. The fixed income component will be
the Arcataur Investment Grade Fixed Income Portfolio,
and will offer the same investment style in the separately
managed account format, focusing on Treasuries, Agency securities,
mortgage-backed securities, corporate bonds and, for its tax
sensitive clients, municipal bonds, with an average portfolio
credit rating of AA or better
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